US Market Stress Early Warning

Know when markets are under stress before it's obvious.

StressSignal monitors 45+ signals across credit, volatility, funding, breadth, and margin — combining them into one clear regime read so you act earlier, not after the damage starts.

14+
Live data sources
45+
Stress signals tracked
Daily
Data refresh
100%
Public data — no black box
Powered by public data from:FREDSEC EDGARCBOEFINRAYahoo FinanceNY FedFDICHackerNewsGoogle News
Plus & Pro subscribers also get signals fromPremium market data providersinstitutional-grade feeds for deeper, faster stress detection

The problem

Most retail investors are always the last to know.

Headlines, charts, and social feeds tell you what already happened. Market stress builds in the financial plumbing days or weeks before it reaches your news feed.

You react too late

Most retail investors only recognize danger after risk assets have collapsed and the crowd has already exited.

📉

Stress builds quietly

Funding strain, volatility structure, and balance sheet leaks worsen long before the mainstream narrative catches on.

💸

Delay costs money

The penalty for using delayed instruments is bad timing, false trust, and avoidable severe portfolio drawdowns.

What we monitor

Nine stress dimensions. One unified score.

From labor markets to corporate balance sheets, consumer credit to funding liquidity — we track the signals that historically precede downturns. Each dimension's scoring criteria is public, clear, and mathematically verifiable.

Credit Spreads

HY/IG OAS, credit transmission, BDC non-accruals — watch where real credit stress is building.

Volatility & VIX

VIX, VVIX, SKEW — not just fear, but the structure of uncertainty across the options market.

Funding & Liquidity

SOFR, RRP, primary dealer positions — how tight is the plumbing before it shows in prices?

Labor & Employment

Initial jobless claims, continuing claims — employment stress often leads broader economic trouble.

Consumer Credit

Loan delinquencies, charge-off rates, lending standards — household stress before it becomes systemic.

Corporate Health

Bankruptcy filings, PIK usage, BDC distress — corporate fragility that can cascade into markets.

Market Breadth

SPY/IWM/QQQ relative strength, sector rotation — is the rally narrow or broad?

Margin & Leverage

FINRA margin debt, cascade vulnerability model — when leverage unwinds, it unwinds fast.

Narrative & Media

Social sentiment, news intensity — when the story changes faster than the data, that matters too.

Architecture & Pipeline

An ongoing, automated decision lifecycle.

To guarantee zero lag, our system functions as a continuous digital pipeline, automatically operating in four discrete phases to resolve posture.

EngineActive (24h)
01. IntakeINGEST
02. ScoreANALYZE
03. CompositeINTEGRATE
04. PostureDECIDE
1INGEST

Intelligent ingestion pipeline

FRED, SEC, FINRA, CBOEWe pull granular datasets across 14+ distinct feeds directly from FRED API endpoints, SEC EDGAR filings, and global trading desks instantly.

2ANALYZE

Independent scoring criteria

Multi-dimensional metricsEvery metric is validated for statistical sanity, then scored independently on localized historical thresholds, percentile ranges, and rate-of-change markers.

3INTEGRATE

Unified stress framework

Weighted regime frameworkIndividual scored pieces are aggregated into a composite stress metric utilizing weighted categorizations and mapped into historical stress regimes.

4DECIDE

Dynamic posture guidance

Risk exposure guidanceWe translate scores directly into clear asset allocation frameworks, portfolio guidelines, and automatic alerts so you protect compounding capital early.

Pricing

Start free. Upgrade when it earns its place.

Every plan gives you real-time signals. Upgrade anytime for customized alerts and deep strategic modules.

Free
$0/forever

Verify the product is real before you commit.

  • Market stress level & regime band
  • Plain-English risk summary
  • Basic alert visibility
  • Methodology documentation
Get started free
Plus
$15/per month

For investors who want dependable ongoing monitoring.

  • Everything in Free
  • Live composite stress score
  • 2-year score history & trends
  • Alert rules & email notifications
  • Market fragility overview
  • Timing speed & risk probabilities
Try Plus free for 7 days

7-day free trial • No credit card required

Or subscribe now — skip trial
Most Value
Pro
$39/per month

Institutional-grade APIs & premium data — not just public feeds.

  • Everything in Plus
  • ★ Government Contract Catalyst — AI-matched federal awards
  • ★ Federal Grant Intelligence — Material grants tracking
  • ★ World Stress Monitor — Global systemic stress tracking
  • ★ AI Opportunity Radar — AI spending beneficiary tracking
  • ★ Smart Money Tracker — Institutional accumulation signals
  • ★ Insider Buying Intelligence — CEO/CFO purchases
  • Institutional APIs: Cboe VVIX, SKEW, NY Fed SOFR/RRP
  • Decision Engine & allocation guidance
  • Labor distress & margin cascade panels
  • Tactical scoring engine
  • Full score driver breakdown
Try Pro free for 7 days

7-day free trial • No credit card required

Or subscribe now — skip trial

Your subscription funds premium data feeds — bringing professional-grade market intelligence to our private investment community.

Built on public data. No black box.

Every signal, active weight, and underlying formula is documented right here. We show you the logic freshness, statistical thresholds, and error rates so you can verify our conclusions directly before allocating capital.

Stop being the last to know.

Join the forward-looking investors tracking market stress indicators before they explode. Free to start, cancel anytime.